What does the removal of term limits for the Xi Jinping presidency in China mean for the developing world and, in particular, for South Asia? Inspiration One possible effect could be a demonstration effect. China’s decades-long rapid economic growth has long been a source of envy and inspiration for many countries in the developing world.Continue reading “Xi for Life: Implications for India and South Asia”
The post-US drawdown situation in Afghanistan throws up a number of national and regional political and security challenges for India and China.
Chinese Defence Minister Gen. Liang Guanglie’s visit to India highlighted four important issues in the Sino-Indian bilateral relationship – the AfPak situation, the boundary dispute, bilateral military cooperation, and Chinese views about the Indian media.
A US-India-China trilateral dialogue based on traditional security considerations is not likely to get very far. Therefore, start with non-traditional security issues of common concern.
In the case of Russia-India-China trilateral, the domestic political orientation of each country contributes fundamentally to its perceptions and views of the objectives and functions of regional organizations.
Domestic instability in Pakistan, the continuing spread of religious radicalism from Pakistan into China, and threats to Chinese economic interests are conditions that would amplify the need for Beijing to take a sterner line with its “all-weather friend”. This could well be a serious dilemma confronting the Chinese leadership at some point in the near future.
If “much of the history of the 21st century will be written in Asia”, then New Delhi will need to find the energy and resources to focus not just on its troubled western frontiers but also on its sprawling and diverse eastern neighbourhood.
The killing of Osama bin Laden shook the Chinese in more ways than one. From ordinary netizen to government-run media, there was disbelief, sarcasm and worries of a geopolitical sort.
Understanding China’s military capabilities alone is not enough, India must also understand its intentions and for this a better grasp of the intersections of the political and military in China is essential.