A Framework for Understanding Sino-Indian Ties

Presentation titled, ‘India and China:Competition or Cooperation?’ at International Workshop on Recent Security Challenges in the Asia Pacific and India-China Relations, Institute of Chinese Communist Studies, Taipei, Taiwan, 30 July 2013.


What framework can we use to understand the current Sino-Indian relationship?

A.  two bookends of the relationship

  • the boundary dispute
  • the need for bilateral cooperation to both transform the current global order and to tackle their own internal problems

B.  the regular stuff in the relationship

  • regular ‘incursions’ at the Line of Actual Control
  • frequent high-level visits between leaders

C.  the irregular stuff in the relationship

  • infrequently organized people-to-people exchanges in the form of cultural shows, film festivals, etc.
  • sporadic attempts at military-to-military exchanges

D.  the framework Continue reading A Framework for Understanding Sino-Indian Ties

China and India’s Agni-V Missile Test

(original text in English follows below the Hindi text)

देश और इससे बाहर, पांच हजार किलोमीटर तक मार करने वाली अग्नि -5 मिसाइल के सफल परीक्षण की व्याख्या हो रही है। माना जा रहा है इसका निशाना चीन है। इस मिसाइल की सफल तैनाती से पूरा चीन भारत के परमाणु हथियारों की जद में आ जाएगा। मिसाइल के इस परीक्षण से देश के कुछ हलकों में एक उत्साह का माहौल दिखाई दे रहा है।

बहरहाल, कड़वा यथार्थ यही है कि परमाणु हथियार की क्षमता हासिल होने की थोड़ी सी भी सुगबुगाहट हो तो प्रतिस्पद्र्धियों हमला करने से विचलित हो जाते हैं। उत्तरी कोरिया और इसके अंतरराष्ट्रीय संबंध यह साबित करने के लिए काफी हैं। अगर पहले नहीं तो कम से 1998 तक तो भारत ने चीन के खिलाफ परमाणु क्षमता हासिल कर ही ली थी। हालांकि यह भी नहीं कहा जा सकता कि ऐसा नहीं होता तो चीन भारत के खिलाफ हमले की योजना बना डालता। Continue reading China and India’s Agni-V Missile Test

China-Pakistan Relations after Osama bin Laden

Osama bin Laden’s death and the circumstances of his killing continue to provoke plenty of comment and analyses as to what it means for the future of US-Pakistan relations. By contrast, there has been considerably less attention paid to the implications for Sino-Pakistani relations. This paper argues that the killing of bin Laden, while increasing frictions in the US-Pak relationship, does not necessarily also mean a warming of Sino-Pak ties. The latter relationship is, in fact, bound up in a number of issues over and beyond the US-Pak equation. These include Chinese concerns over ethnic separatism in its Xinjiang province and the post-US drawdown stability of Afghanistan, the Sino-Indian equation, the Sino-US relationship and Chinese economic interests in Pakistan.

Read the full article here: Jabin T. Jacob, “The Future of China-Pakistan Relations after Osama bin Laden,” Associate Paper, Future Directions International (Perth), 8 August 2011.

China and the end of Osama

Osama bin Laden finally met his end in Pakistan in May 2011. While the world and Pakistan have not changed all that much since then, the killing of bin Laden did shake the Chinese up in more ways than one. From ordinary netizen to government-run media, there was disbelief (“Impossible! I don’t believe it”), sarcasm (“Sigh! Bin Laden has died once again!!”) and worries of a geopolitical sort (“After Bin Laden, will China become US foe?”).

Continue reading China and the end of Osama